Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
5.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 64%-5.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
58,4 €
Liquidez
97,4 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
60.0% / 68.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-6.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
27/05/26, 15:22 UTC3/11/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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ForecastExWill the Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- All Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the winner, even if they take place after November 2026.
- Vacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected.
