Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2037 82.8%Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores
72
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-2.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado30/08/25, 01:51 UTC22/01/36, 00:37 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
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KalshiRegras
This is a cumulative probability market.
- Therefore, for example, if Trump dies in 2027, "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" resolve NO, and "the named outcome", "the named outcome", etc. will all resolve YES.
- Answers will resolve early when time runs out and Trump has not yet died.
- For example, "the named outcome" will resolve NO if Trump has not died and 2026 has begun.
- There may be a delay before resolution to confirm that Trump has not died.
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Donald Trump die??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before 2037 em 83% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Donald Trump die? é resolvido?
- When will Donald Trump die? deverá ser resolvido em 22 de janeiro de 2036.
- Como When will Donald Trump die? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a cumulative probability market.