Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute
One-OffIATecnologiaCiência14aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 95.4%
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Atualizado há 3 minutos
12/07/26, 18:40 UTC31/12/40, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the first AI-driven computation (inference run) that successfully solves one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems is publicly documented or estimated to have cost over $1,000,000 USD in compute resource for inference.
- It resolves to NO if the first successful AI solver's run costs $1,000,000 USD or less, or if the first verified solution is found by a human without the direct output of an AI inference system.
- Definitions and Details:
- Millennium Prize Problems: The six remaining unsolved problems designated by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI):
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute é resolvido?
- Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2040.
- Como Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria