Will the Coalition next split before the next election?
PolíticaOne-OffClimaPolítica dos EUAEleição2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 56.5%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
8/02/26, 04:59 UTC30/12/26, 22:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
Resolution Criteria
- The next Australian federal election is scheduled to occur between May and September 2028.
- This market resolves YES if the Liberal-National Coalition formally splits at a Federal level (i.e., the Nationals formally withdraw from the Coalition agreement) at any point before the next federal election.
- Conditions for Resolution:
- - The split must be announced by official party leadership (Liberal or National).
- - The split must be reported by major Australian news outlets (e.g., ABC, SMH, The Australian).
