Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
PolíticaOne-OffClimaPolítica dos EUAEleição2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98.2%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado9/07/25, 21:51 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a third party candidate officially affiliated with the America Party is officially declared the winner of a seat in the U.S. Congress (either the House of Representatives or the Senate; federal US Congress only) in the 2026 elections.
- Official election results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) or the respective state election authorities will serve as the primary sources for resolution.
- If no America Party candidate wins a congressional seat in 2026, the market will resolve to "No."
- The candidate should not be a nominee for the Republican or Democratic Party, so if a candidate informally identifies as "America Party" but is a Republican or Democratic Party nominee, their win will not be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes".
- The America Party, founded by Elon Musk, aims to influence U.S. politics by focusing on key swing states and competitive congressional districts.
