Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado10/07/25, 01:17 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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While 10% of the vote would not win the seat, by taking votes from other candidates, 10% may be enough to change the outcome of an election and influence the final composition of the House of Representatives and even which party has a house majority.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any official candidate nominated by the America Party receives at least 10% of the total votes in any U.S. Congressional seat (House or Senate) during the 2026 elections.
- Official election results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) or respective state election authorities will serve as the primary sources for verification.
- For this item to resolve yes, the candidate must be a nominee or member of the America Party, and CANNOT be an official nominee of the Democrat or Republican Party.
- Refers to the federal U.S. Congress only, not state legislatures.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026? é resolvido?
- Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: While 10% of the vote would not win the seat, by taking votes from other candidates, 10% may be enough to change the outcome of an election and influence the final composition of the House of Representatives and even which party has a house majority.