Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026?
Política comercialOne-OffPolítica dos EUAAmérica Latina2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 23 de out. de 2026, 23:42 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 81.9%
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado17/07/26, 04:14 UTC1/01/27, 06:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market is about the U.S. 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil announced in July 2026 under Section 301.
- CNBC described the tariff as taking effect on July 22, 2026, with exemptions for some goods such as beef, orange juice, aircraft and parts, and energy products.
- Resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. has officially ended, suspended, or reduced this 25% Section 301 tariff so that it no longer applies to most Brazilian goods.
- Resolves NO if, on December 31, 2026, the 25% tariff is still in effect for most Brazilian goods.
- Small product-specific exemptions do not count unless the tariff is broadly removed, suspended, or reduced for most Brazilian goods.