Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.6%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado22/06/23, 06:05 UTC31/12/26, 09:30 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Manifold MarketsMore than 80% of all user queries to LLMs will be served by LLMs less than 10 Billion parameters in size by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta ever deploy its best LLM without releasing its model weights up through AGI?
Manifold MarketsBest LLM at the end of the decade?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?
KalshiAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Conversational LLM