Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado17/05/25, 02:55 UTC2/01/27, 01:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketUS credit rating downgrade in 2026?
KalshiWill MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
PolymarketIn which decade will bitcoin reach $1 million?
Manifold MarketsUS Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.
- (en.wikipedia.org) This market resolves to 'Yes' if S&P announces a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to 'AA' or lower before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from S&P.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,7 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 18,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,3 mil
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? é resolvido?
- Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.