KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 90%
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
51,3 €
Liquidez
28,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
1/01/26, 05:01 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Brazil’s sovereign credit rating be downgraded by Fitch, Moody’s, or S&P in 2026?
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FutuurAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketWill MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
PolymarketWill S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 282,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,2 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,1 mil
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mil
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 mais resultados
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US credit rating downgrade in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 90% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US credit rating downgrade in 2026? é resolvido?
- US credit rating downgrade in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como US credit rating downgrade in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.