Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA- or lower before the end of 2030?

POLYMARKET

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

• 43.0 to 45.9+16.5pt50.9%
• 46.0 to 48.9+15.0pt44.3%
• 52.0 to 54.9-9.3pt1.9%

+4 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 22,3 mil

Volume 24h

€ 5,2 mil

POLYMARKET

Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026

• Ariel Pakes-0.5pt20%
• Michael Woodford12%
• Susan Athey+1.0pt12%

+14 mais resultados

KALSHI

Poland rate decision in November

• Maintain current rate+5.0ptHistórico registado de 24hCompra–venda registada67%–74%Recolhido: 11 de out. de 2026, 15:21 UTC
• Hike 1-25bpsCompra–venda registada12%–22%Recolhido: 11 de out. de 2026, 15:21 UTC
• Cut 1-25bps

POLYMARKET

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

• No-2.0pt73.3%
• Yes+2.0pt26.7%

Volume total

€ 3,5 mi

Volume 24h

€ 3,4 mil

KALSHI

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

• YesCompra–venda registada93%–94%Recolhido: 11 de out. de 2026, 15:32 UTC
• NoCompra–venda registada6%–7%Recolhido: 11 de out. de 2026, 15:32 UTC

Volume total

€ 1,1 mi

Volume 24h

KALSHI

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

• NoCompra–venda registada90.3%–94.5%Recolhido: 11 de out. de 2026, 15:32 UTC
• Yes-1.8ptHistórico registado de 24hCompra–venda registada5.5%–9.7%Recolhido: 11 de out. de 2026, 15:32 UTC

Volume total

€ 739,6 mil