Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.4%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado3/07/26, 17:18 UTC3/07/27, 17:15 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
https://archive.is/BkISd
- Resolves YES if any of the following occur:
- Russian or Belarussian soldiers cross into Polish territory without explicit Polish permission
- Critical Polish infrastructure is targeted in a kinetic attack with Russian or Belarussian missiles or drones
- A "simulated air strike" from Russia or Belarus in which Poland activates its air defenses
- Resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
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- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
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POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
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POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia or Belarus attack Poland in the next year??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia or Belarus attack Poland in the next year? é resolvido?
- Will Russia or Belarus attack Poland in the next year? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de julho de 2027.
- Como Will Russia or Belarus attack Poland in the next year? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://archive.is/BkISd