Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRússia / Ucrânia
Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (96.7%)
Resolvido: 2 de nov. de 2026, 00:12
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
No
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
94%
ConsensoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 2 de nov. de 2026, 00:07 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes3.3%
No96.7%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the Russian Federation has de facto control of at least 95.00% of the Donbass region at the close date.
- This market will resolve NO if the Russian Federation has de facto control of less than 95.00% of the Donbass region at the close date.
- Resolution sources
- Should the Russia-Ukraine conflict reach a formal conclusion by the close date, the resolution of this market will be informed by a consensus of media reports, if one exists.
- If the conflict is ongoing at the close date, or the extent of Russia’s territorial control is uncertain, the market will resolve according to estimates obtained from the following sources:
