Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 77% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?

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26/02/24, 18:24 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC

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The Suwałki Gap is a short strip of land that separates the Baltics from the rest of NATO, stretching from Kaliningrad to Belarus.

[image]In the event of a conflict between NATO, Russia might attempt to close the Suwałki Gap to isolate the Baltics.
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?
See this question but for other years:
@/cash/will-russia-attempt-to-militarily-s (this question)
@/cash/will-russia-attempt-to-militarily-s-UndsqIZNpO