Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 62.8%
Não 62.8%Previsores
14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado22/12/23, 10:26 UTC1/01/30, 21:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
will Resolve YES: if a new book in the series of "what if" by Randall Munroe is out by 2030, even if the book is named something other than "what if 3" but focuses on answering hypothetical questions will Resolve NO: as long as he don't publish book with this focus will resolve no, even if he publishes books with different focus (such as "How to" or "thing explainer")