Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 53.7%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado25/02/26, 19:14 UTC1/01/27, 19:08 UTC
Tendências
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
Referencing this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Quroe/what-is-quroes-favorite-animal)Hopefully it will manifestly obvious™ (i.e. wildly different shape/structure to human e.g. a dog or horse wouldn't count, a cat [barbed penis] or hyena [external vagina] would count imo) but I'm willing to defer to a Manifold poll if it's hotly contested
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The norm for the species is what counts, not malformations or abnormalities.
- A private part only qualifies as "wacky" if the unusual structure is standard/default for that animal.
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Penile bones (baculum) do not count as wacky private parts for resolution purposes, as they are common among our closest primate relatives and don't produce a strong "wait wtf" reaction.
- The bar for "wacky" is set higher — examples like snail love darts or spider genitalia are the intended reference point.
Mercados abertos
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- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 226,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 125,2 mil
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,6 mi
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 108,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
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- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 mais resultados
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
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- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Quroe's favourite animal have wacky private parts??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 54% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Quroe's favourite animal have wacky private parts? é resolvido?
- Will Quroe's favourite animal have wacky private parts? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Quroe's favourite animal have wacky private parts? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Referencing this market: