Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.8%
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado11/06/24, 16:41 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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Will OpenAI make a deal to pay a major science publisher such as Elsevier for explicit access / training rights on their papers, before the end of 2025?
- Closes at end of 2026 to allow for a one-year lag in when we learn about it.
- Resolves YES if such a deal has already taken place.
- Vide this minor difference of guesses between myself (Yudkowsky) and Sabine Hossenfelder.
Mercados abertos
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- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025? é resolvido?
- Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will OpenAI make a deal to pay a major science publisher such as Elsevier for explicit access / training rights on their papers, before the end of 2025?