KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 80%
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
21.0% / 40.0%
Spread
19.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
4/06/25, 14:00 UTC1/01/28, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If OpenAI pays tort damages of more than $1 million before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
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- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028??
- A Kalshi cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028? é resolvido?
- Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If OpenAI pays tort damages of more than $1 million before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.