Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.5%
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado16/12/25, 15:32 UTC18/01/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Nick Reiner receives a presidential pardon from Donald Trump before the end of Trump's current term in office.
- Resolution will be confirmed via official White House announcements or the Federal Register's pardon list.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's term ends without a pardon being issued.
Mercados abertos
US Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,1 mi
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.6pt51.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+35.5pt47.5%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 2097%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 621,3 mil
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- € 19,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 488,1 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump? é resolvido?
- Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump? deverá ser resolvido em 18 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria