Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.4%
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27
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado6/03/26, 04:46 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if S-7263 passes within 2026.
- Resolves YES if that bill is substantively included in another bill or package that passes this year as well, or if it’s resubmitted under a different number.
- Generally, I will attempt to resolve in the spirit of this question, not the explicit letter of these criteria.
- S-7263 is a bill seeking to regulate AIs giving medical/legal/professional advice, allowing people to sue chatbot owners who violate this ban.
- If S-7263 is substantially amended to the point that it is in my estimation no longer substantively similar to its current form (let’s say, 80% less potent or different from its current form) then this will resolve NO.
- In gray areas, I may resolve to PROB, judging from a consensus of credible reporting and feedback from other Manifold moderators.
Mercados abertos
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- November 30,85%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- € 9,1 mi
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if S-7263 passes within 2026.