Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 96.3%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado16/06/26, 02:46 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
GLM 5.4+ (Z.ai) release date
Manifold MarketsGLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a model called GPT-5o in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
FutuurNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegras
Resolve to yes if
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, Mistral AI officially releases an artificial intelligence model under the name "Le Chaton Fat" (case-insensitive variations allowed).
- To qualify for a YES resolution, the release must meet the following criteria:
- Official Release: Mistral AI must make a functional AI model available to the public, either via open-weight downloads, an API endpoint, or as a deployed chatbot/tool on their official platform.
- Official Announcement: The release must be verified through Mistral AI’s official channels, such as their website (https://mistral.ai), official blog, or verified social media accounts.
Mercados abertos
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 494,6 mil
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 809,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 123,4 mil
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mistral AI release a model named "le chaton fat" by EOY 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mistral AI release a model named "le chaton fat" by EOY 2026 é resolvido?
- Will Mistral AI release a model named "le chaton fat" by EOY 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Mistral AI release a model named "le chaton fat" by EOY 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolve to yes if