Probabilidade implícita atual
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 95%+0.1ptLíder entre 46 opções
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,2 mil €
Liquidez
407,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
93
Variação 7d
+3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
22/04/26, 22:25 UTC17/04/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
KalshiNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
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PolymarketRegras
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place.
- If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.