Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 92%+0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
17,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
16
Variação 7d
-1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
25/05/26, 01:55 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Argentina hold presidential elections on schedule in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
PolymarketIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 election.
- Announcements of discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such elections, will not qualify.
- If early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the elections are later postponed, canceled, or ultimately held.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
