Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 78.2%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
14/09/26, 20:16 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if both Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom formally run for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle on or before August 10, 2028.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, "running for president" is defined as a candidate meeting at least one of the following criteria on or before August 10, 2028:
- Officially filing a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2) for the office of President with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) for the 2028 election cycle (viewable on the official FEC website).
- Registering an official presidential exploratory committee with the FEC for the 2028 election.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 78.2% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria