Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70.6%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado19/06/25, 01:34 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsE. Jean Carroll federally charged by which date?
PolymarketWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness?
Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiHasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Fran%C3%A7ois_Gari%C3%A9py
- Gariépy's partner Élora Patoine (also known as "Mama JF") disappeared in June 2023, having last been seen in Moncton on June 19, two days after being left at a gas station.
- He subsequently announced a deep cleaning of his house.
- He believed that she left voluntarily (as an act of off-the-grid living) in explaining why he never reported her absence to police, but in September/October 2023, she was reported missing.[25][26][27] As of October 2024, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police was still seeking tips from the public to help find Patoine.[28]
Mercados abertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- € 9,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8,6 mil
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volume total
- € 503,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Volume total
- € 353,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6 mil
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Fran%C3%A7ois_Gari%C3%A9py