Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 90.3%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado18/05/26, 09:55 UTC15/05/27, 19:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
KalshiWhich country will win the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Eurovision Song Contest Asia show happen?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) officially announces that Israel is banned or suspended from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest prior to the commencement of the 2027 Grand Final.
- It resolves to NO if Israel remains eligible to compete in the 2027 contest or if no such ban/suspension is announced before the final event.
- The primary source of resolution will be official statements released by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or the official Eurovision Song Contest website.
- If the EBU issues a statement regarding Israel's participation status, that determination will be final.
- The Eurovision Song Contest has faced significant political pressure regarding participant eligibility in recent years.
Mercados abertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 107,6 mil
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,5 mil
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens? é resolvido?
- Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de maio de 2027.
- Como Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria