Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffTecnologiaCiência3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 68.6%
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5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado10/02/26, 21:31 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if new iron-air battery capacity installed in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 1.2 GWh by 2026-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total iron-air battery capacity that became operational during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2026-12-31 settlement: measure capacity installed from 2025-07-04 to 2026-10-02
- "Operational" means commissioned and capable of charging/discharging to the grid
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 69% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026? é resolvido?
- Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria