Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2032?
InflationOne-OffTecnologiaWeather14a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 92.7%
Previsores
36
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado7/03/23, 08:49 UTC31/12/40, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Highest temperature in London on September 11?
PolymarketLowest temperature in London on September 11?
PolymarketPoland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Manifold MarketsWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsRegras
The price needs to be lower than a business-class flight today, £8k, inflation-adjusted.
- If the flight is driven by part fossil fuel and part electrical flight it does not count (except for reaching cruise altitude, see the comments' discussion in 2020 companion market).
- See the same question for 2040 below.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/HenriThunberg/will-i-be-able-to-book-a-commercial)
