Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado15/07/25, 16:48 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
A law affirming this status or sufficiently clear case law will count for a YES resolution.
- Lack of law forbidding it will count as NO unless there are examples of that government allowing and recognizing human-AI marriages in practice.
- Civil partnerships or other "marriage by another name" statuses will count as NO for resolution.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%-1.0pt97%
- Above 2.65%+21.0pt94%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 116 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 99,3 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.6pt70.6%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt14.7%
- Gemini-0.3pt6.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,8 mi
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba-5.0pt69%
- Moonshot-5.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.4pt6%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt87%
- December 15,83%
- November 30,+2.0pt80%
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- Volume total
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+3.0pt87.1%
- Moonshot-2.9pt8.9%
- Z.ai-0.8pt2%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+31.0pt54%
- Above 5.6%+6.0pt12%
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- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 85% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? é resolvido?
- Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: A law affirming this status or sufficiently clear case law will count for a YES resolution.