Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaEleiçãoSociety & Culture3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 95.2%
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado23/08/24, 05:12 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
This resolves YES if
- The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or
- A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.
- A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 é resolvido?
- Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This resolves YES if