Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 52%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
1/10/26, 20:15 UTC14/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Google makes its Gemini 4 Argon model publicly available to individual developers or consumers on or before October 14, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- To qualify as publicly available, ordinary individual users must be able to obtain access without being individually selected, invited, vetted, or approved by Google.
- Qualified access pathways include:
- Developer Access: Available via Google AI Studio, the Gemini API, or Google Cloud Vertex AI for any registered developer.