Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.3%
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9
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado12/06/26, 23:59 UTC31/12/44, 23:59 UTC
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Will Wales become a US state before 2045?
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ForecastExWhich US Territories will be a part of a US State by 2045?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves as YES if England, or a successor political entity consisting substantially of the territory of England, is formally admitted to the United States as a U.S. state with an effective date before January 1st 2045.
- Resolution will be based on official legal recognition by the United States, such as an Act of Congress admitting England as a state, and the admission must have legally taken effect before the deadline.
- Resolves as NO if England has not become a U.S. state before January 1st 2045, including if it only becomes a U.S. territory, protectorate, commonwealth, associated state, military-administered region, or otherwise falls under U.S. influence without full U.S. statehood.
- If the entire United Kingdom, Great Britain, or another larger entity containing England is admitted as a single U.S. state, this market resolves YES only if England is included in that state at the time of admission.
