Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 69%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado21/04/26, 19:52 UTC22/01/31, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated?
Manifold MarketsCoca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
KalshiNow Coca-Cola Company buys Restaurant Brands International (RBI) on 2035
Manifold MarketsWill Polymarket stop using the UMA protocol by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill any country stop using paper currency by end 2029?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegras
Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.
- This can be inferred from reporting or company announcements about how their ad was produced
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 132,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 100,3 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 322,4 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 69% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 22 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.