Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 53.4%
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26
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 46 minutos
Atrasado22/08/26, 19:19 UTC25/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegras
Resolves yes if over 50% of the pixels in Coca-Cola's most widely broadcast Christmas Commercial are generated by an AI model.
- Update 2026-08-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be determined by:
- Official reporting or company statements
- Subjective judgment of the creator and others regarding the commercial's appearance, if no official sources are available
- Update 2026-08-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If the determination feels close, the creator will err on the side of resolving YES.
Mercados abertos
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
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- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 53% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated? é resolvido?
- Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated? deverá ser resolvido em 25 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if over 50% of the pixels in Coca-Cola's most widely broadcast Christmas Commercial are generated by an AI model.