Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 14:12 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 84.1%
Previsores
66
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado6/12/25, 11:10 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill openAI retain >50% chatbot market share through 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves to this site: AI Chatbot Market Share Worldwide | Statcounter Global Stats
- ChatGPT has steadily held 80% market share according to that site.
- Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if ChatGPT falls below 75% market share at any point during 2026 (not just at year-end), as measured on the linked Statcounter site for all platforms worldwide.
- Update 2026-10-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve using the monthly time series from the linked Statcounter site.
