Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 88.7%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado4/05/23, 07:34 UTC1/05/43, 13:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? 🤴🇬🇧👑
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the U.S. declare war on next?
Manifold MarketsCharles III still King of England through the end of 2026?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRegras
In the UK the declaration of war is one of the royal prerogatives but of course in practice it's complicated.
- This resolves YES if during Charles III's reign the UK declares war on some country under authorization from Charles and with his Consent (even if the authorization is presented by someone else on his behalf).
- Market will be extended as necessary.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt22%
- October 31-3.5pt17%
- September 30-4.1pt5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 11,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 540,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.5pt79.2%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt16.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+3.5pt57%
- September 30+2.5pt41%
- September 21+2.0pt34%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- € 56,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 197,5 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt66%
- October 31-0.5pt37%
- September 30+1.5pt23%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.5pt93%
- September 4+9.0pt90%
- September 18+4.0pt90%
+2 mais resultados
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Charles III declare war during his reign ??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Charles III declare war during his reign ? é resolvido?
- Will Charles III declare war during his reign ? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de maio de 2043.
- Como Will Charles III declare war during his reign ? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: In the UK the declaration of war is one of the royal prerogatives but of course in practice it's complicated.