Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastCrime & Justice4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 87.4%
Previsores
110
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado20/05/24, 17:59 UTC16/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
The International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu.
- Will Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or tried for war crimes or crimes against humanity?
- It will not be sufficient for this market if an arrest is made by someone without the power to enforce the arrest or detain him (eg. an activist accosts him and says that they’re making an arrest but his security staff get him away from the activist) or for him to be tried in absentia by a court who cannot enforce any ruling.
- If Netanyahu dies without ever having been arrested, detained or tried for these crimes, the market will resolve to NO.
- I don’t think that this resolution will be subjective, but just in case some edge case happens and it is subjective, I won’t be trading on this market.
- Related market:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes? é resolvido?
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes? deverá ser resolvido em 16 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu.