Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Médio2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 68%
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado21/01/26, 18:19 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Tensions have been increasing between Ethiopia and Eritrea as Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has led a PR push about the country's need for consistent access to a seaport.
- Ethiopia is the world's largest landlocked country.
- Ethiopia and Eritrea engaged in a bloody border war from 1999-2001, but Abiy signed a peace deal in 2018 to restore ties, for which he won the Nobel Peace Prize.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea occurs by December 31, 2026.
- Armed conflict is defined as sustained military hostilities involving direct combat operations between the two nations' armed forces, resulting in casualties.
