Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 09:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 95.1%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado4/01/25, 19:09 UTC21/01/29, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between the armed forces of the United States and Canada before January 20, 2029.
- Resolution criteria:
- Must involve official government forces (ex. uniformed military, national guard, or police acting in an official capacity, not private militias or individuals)
- Must include exchange of fire or direct combat operations
- Must result in the creation of a wikipedia page, with a table indicating at least 10 total casualties or losses and with the USA and Canada as belligerents on opposing sides, and that page must remain up for at least a week.
- (ex. this page)
