Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.1%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado1/09/26, 15:50 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
PolymarketDrop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurBP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiExxonMobil Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiChevron Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiSeptember Inflation US - Monthly
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if Argentina's National Statistics and Census Institute (INDEC) reports a monthly variation in the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) of less than 1.0% for any month from August through December 2026.
- The market resolves NO if no such monthly CPI reading is reported during that period.
- The resolution source will be the official CPI data published by INDEC.
- The relevant figure is the monthly percentage change in the National CPI, not year-over-year inflation.
- A reported value of exactly 1.0% does not qualify; the reported monthly inflation rate must be strictly below 1.0%.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 128,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 29 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29 mil
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,1 mil
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Argentina's National Statistics and Census Institute (INDEC) reports a monthly variation in the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) of less than 1.0% for any month from August through December 2026.