Will anyone accept a $1M Millennium Prize for solving a problem this century?
IAOne-OffPremiaçõesCiênciaManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.6%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado10/09/26, 21:01 UTC31/12/00, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2101 (the end of the 21st century), the Clay Mathematics Institute (or its official successor organization) awards a Millennium Prize for the solution of any of the seven Millennium Prize Problems, and at least one recipient officially accepts the associated $1,000,000 cash prize (or their portion of it, if the prize is split).
- The market resolves to NO if either:
- December 31, 2100 passes without any individual or entity accepting a Millennium Prize; or
- All seven Millennium Prize Problems have been officially resolved and, for every prize awarded, all recipients decline the associated prize money, making a future YES resolution impossible.
- Notes and Edge Cases: