Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 98.6%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado10/08/25, 09:10 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Market will be resolved to Yes if at least one of the open problems from DeepMind's formal-conjectures gets decided before 2027.
- Only problems which is added to the main branch of the repository before the creation of this market will be considered.
- The problem should have 'open' tag and should be completely proven via Lean
Mercados abertos
AI
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 75,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 61,5 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
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POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
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KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 61,1 mil
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 mais resultados
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POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Market will be resolved to Yes if at least one of the open problems from DeepMind's formal-conjectures gets decided before 2027.