Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado21/04/26, 22:22 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if either Anthropic or OpenAI publicly announces, releases, or makes available for purchase a standardized, consumer-facing subscription plan priced at exactly US$2,000 per month.
- The plan must be available for subscription at this specific price point at any time between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from Anthropic (e.g., official blog, verified social media channels) or OpenAI (e.g., official blog, verified social media channels), or credible reporting from major technology news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, The Verge, TechCrunch) confirming the launch or availability of such a tier.
- Custom-quoted enterprise contracts, usage-based billing, or agreements that do not feature a standardized US$2,000/month subscription tier do not count toward a YES resolution.
- If no such standardized plan is introduced by either company by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria