Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
13.5 pts (24h)ExchangeIATecnologiaOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate5m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualAnthropic + OpenAI 52%-0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
110,2 €
Liquidez
3,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
44.0% / 60.0%
Spread
16.0 pt
Spread amploVariação 7d
+10.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
19/05/26, 20:301/01/27, 12:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Anthropic + OpenAI 52%
Tendência de volume
$1256 de jul.19d de dados29 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0 €SpaceX: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
8,8 mil €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
8,3 mil €SpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
0 €Below 0.5T: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSCombined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
44,3 €Under $3T: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
18,4 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
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This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Microsoft's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Microsoft" if Microsoft's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a private company completes an IPO or direct listing prior to the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.