Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 57%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado19/11/25, 00:05 UTC1/01/30, 23:56 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
[Granular] When Will the AI Bubble Pop?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI bubble before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI bubble before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if overvaluation of AI related stocks is one significant cause of the next severe and prolonged economic downturn.
- Resolves NO if there is not any AI "bubble pop" or if it does not impact the greater economy in a significant enough way.
- Market will extend until the next depression is clearly established and causes are analyzed by at least 10 reputable publications.
- Classification of a depression will be evaluated based on a majority of reputable news sources and relevant experts.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_bubble
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_depression
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? é resolvido?
- Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if overvaluation of AI related stocks is one significant cause of the next severe and prolonged economic downturn.