Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Rússia / UcrâniaOne-OffPolítica comercialIA13h
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99.2%
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Atualizado há 14 minutos
16/02/26, 17:48 UTC31/10/26, 17:48 UTC
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Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia (case A-821-840, HTS 7110.21.0000) is published in the Federal Register by October 31, 2026.
- Background: This is the final step - requires BOTH:
- Commerce final affirmative AD determination
- USITC final affirmative injury determination
- Once issued, the order imposes cash deposit requirements on all imports at the determined AD rate (currently 132.83% preliminary for Russia-wide entity).
- Impact: A duty order would effectively shut down Russian palladium imports to the U.S., forcing importers to shift to South African, Canadian, or recycled sources.
