Will "American Government Takes Down Claude Fable" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
IAOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.8%
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Atrasado15/06/26, 03:37 UTC1/02/28, 00:00 UTC
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post American Government Takes Down Claude Fable is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
