Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
GeopolíticaOne-Off4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 69.2%
Previsores
92
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado26/03/23, 06:06 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a significant breakthrough in nuclear fusion technology by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill commercial nuclear fusion exist in April of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Reaction must have a net energy gain
- For information on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fusion
- There are multiple initiatives pursuing nuclear fusion, please post in the comments if you find interesting ones that I haven't listed:
- ITER: International collaboration to demonstrate fusion feasibility using the world's largest tokamak for magnetic confinement.
- NIF: US-based facility employing inertial confinement fusion with powerful lasers to achieve ignition and energy gain.
- JET: European tokamak research facility, contributing to ITER's development and exploring plasma physics and fusion technology.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 470,8 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 69% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030? é resolvido?
- Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Reaction must have a net energy gain