Will a Muslim Majority Country Lose Its Majority Before 2040?
Oriente MédioOne-OffReligiãoSociedade e culturaGeopolítica13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 63%
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binary
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Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado3/05/26, 11:30 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC
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Criterion: If a country where the population is >50.0% Muslim as of May 03, 2026 is less than or equal to 50.0% Muslim before 2040, the market resolves YES.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam_by_country#Countries Eligible Countries: Here are the countries that currently have a Muslim majority and to which the criterion applies: Maldives, Mauritania, Iran, Somalia, Afghanistan, Djibouti, Western Sahara, Algeria, Morocco, Comoros, Niger, Tajikistan, Tunisia, Palestine, Azerbaijan, Jordan, Senegal, Yemen, Libya, Mayotte, Pakistan, Gambia, Mali, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Iraq, Turkmenistan, Kosovo, Turkey, Bangladesh, Egypt, Guinea, Uzbekistan, Indonesia, Syria, Oman, Brunei, Kyrgyzstan, Sierra Leone, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, Kazakhstan, Lebanon, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Burkina Faso, Malaysia, Chad, Eritrea, Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
