![Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Flastuserhere%252Fe0f90ec98c52.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2034 88.9%Líder entre 11 opções
2034 88.9%Previsores
63
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado10/01/24, 09:22 UTC30/12/33, 19:30 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRegras
Once a human lands on the moon in year X, all the years after the year X will resolve to YES as well.
- The "human" landing on the "moon" must be a safe landing in the sense that the human lands on the moon alive.
- That's all that matters.
- i will resolve the 2024 option soon after the creation of the market, as it was only to create continuity.
